MLB 2025 Season Preview: Team Win Projections and Postseason Outlook

The 2025 MLB season is heating up, and with the offseason moves mostly behind us, it’s time to take a closer look at how each team stacks up. From the Dodgers' dominant roster to the Mets' new-look offense, here’s a breakdown of the win projections, postseason probabilities, and what fans can expect from their favorite teams this season.

1. Los Angeles Dodgers

Win average: 101.7

Expectation: The Dodgers are the clear favorites, with an over/under win line of 104.5 at ESPN BET. After winning the 2024 World Series and making significant offseason moves, their goal is nothing short of another championship.

Reality: Despite their dominance, the nature of baseball ensures nothing is guaranteed. However, the Dodgers remain the team to beat.

2. Atlanta Braves

Win average: 96.4

Expectation: The Braves are still strong contenders in the NL East, but their position isn’t as secure as it was last year. They’ll rely on Ronald Acuña Jr. and Spencer Strider to return to their star-level form.

Reality: Atlanta faces stiff competition from the Phillies and Mets, making this a tight division race.

3. New York Yankees

Win average: 91.2

Expectation: The Yankees had a solid offseason, adding Max Fried and Cody Bellinger. They aim to improve on their 2024 performance and remain a top contender in the AL.

Reality: Without Juan Soto, the Yankees will need their new additions to fill the void if they hope to make a deep playoff run.

4. New York Mets

Win average: 91.0

Expectation: With a $765 million contract for Juan Soto, the Mets are aiming for a World Series title. Their offense looks formidable, but questions remain about their pitching staff.

Reality: The Mets’ success will hinge on their ability to balance their explosive offense with a reliable rotation.

5. Philadelphia Phillies

Win average: 88.7

Expectation: The Phillies didn’t make many big moves this offseason, but their star-studded roster is built to win now.

Reality: Injuries or regression from their older players could derail their season, but if everyone stays healthy, they’re a serious contender.

Other Notable Teams:

• Houston Astros (88.0 wins): The Astros remain a playoff threat but will need their younger players to step up after losing key veterans.
• Texas Rangers (87.7 wins): After a disappointing 2024, the Rangers are looking to bounce back with a healthy Jacob deGrom and developing pitching prospects.
• Baltimore Orioles (87.5 wins): The Orioles’ young core, led by Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman, is poised to take the next step.

Key Takeaways:

• The Dodgers are the team to beat, with the Braves and Yankees not far behind.
• The Mets and Phillies will battle for supremacy in the NL East.
• Teams like the Rangers and Orioles are looking to build on their young talent and make a playoff push.

As the 2025 season unfolds, these projections will be put to the test. Will the Dodgers dominate again, or will another team rise to the occasion? Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: baseball fans are in for an exciting season.