MLB Tuesday Slate: Expert Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks & Betting Predictions

Starting Pitcher Rankings for Tuesday

Projected fantasy points (FPTS) based on ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, -2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, -1 per hit/walk, -2 per ER allowed).

FPTS	Team	Pitcher	Hand	Opp	RST%	ML	O/U	W%	IP	ER	K
14.0	SEA	Logan Gilbert	R	DET	99.7%	-175	6.5	59%	6.0	2.2	6.3
13.1	BOS	Chris Sale	L	@LAD	99.6%	+150	7.5	56%	5.7	2.1	6.5
12.3	NYM	Kodai Senga	R	@MIA	83.9%	-160	7.5	54%	5.7	2.2	6.6
12.2	MIL	Corbin Burnes	R	@NYY	99.4%	-105	8.5	59%	5.9	2.3	6.0
11.6	NYY	Michael King	R	CLE	96.1%	-175	7.5	56%	5.4	1.9	5.7

Top Streaming Options

Shane Baz (TB vs PIT): Dominant stuff when healthy; facing weak Pirates lineup in pitcher-friendly Tropicana Field
Casey Mize (DET @ SEA): Showed improved command in spring; faces MLB's most strikeout-prone lineup in cavernous T-Mobile Park

Hitter Matchup Analysis

Favorable Jumps

Brewers vs Chad Patrick (KC):

The rookie allowed 1.4 HR/9 in minors
Amer. Family Field boosts HR by 18% for RHB
Target: Hunter Renfroe, Jonathan India

Tough Matchups

Rafael Devers (BOS LAD):

Career-worst 34.6% whiff rate
Shoulder issues affecting swing mechanics
Consider benching until form improves

Betting Insights

HR Prop Bets (EV Analysis)

Player	Odds	EV	Notes
Guerrero Jr	+450	$7.36	Underperforming xHR metrics
Matt McLain	+650	$6.80	Great American boosts RHB power
Wilmer Flores	+700	$4.16	21.7 xHR/600 vs. actual 9.9

Ballpark Factors

Best Pitcher Parks
- T-Mobile Park (SEA): -22% run scoring
- Oracle Park (SF): -18% HR factor
Hitter Havens
- Great American (CIN): +35% HR boost
- Coors Field (COL): +27% run scoring

"Tuesday's slate features several tier-2 aces in favorable matchups, while hitter-friendly parks create value in player props." - ESPN Fantasy Analytics