Starting Pitcher Rankings & Analysis

Top Tier Arms:

• Spencer Schwellenbach (RHP, PHI) leads Thursday's slate with 11.3 FPTS projection. The Braves' lineup presents a tough test, but his 53% win probability and 5.8 IP forecast make him a viable DFS anchor.
• Jesus Luzardo (LHP, @ATL) vs. Philadelphia's lefty-mashing lineup is risky (47% W%), but his swing-and-miss stuff (6.3 projected Ks) offers GPP upside.

Streaming Gold:

• Gavin Williams (RHP, CLE) vs. White Sox:
  • Cold weather (40°F) boosts pitcher advantage
  • CHW ranks 28th in wRC+ vs. RHP (83)
  • Key Stat: 21 K in 12.1 spring training IP
• Jose Soriano (RHP, LAA) faces TB's anemic offense (4.9 projected Ks) despite Rays' low whiff rate (18.3%, 4th lowest).

Hitting Highlights

Ballpark Boost: Fenway Park's 1.18 run factor (2nd highest) makes Red Sox lefties (Rafael Devers, Jarren Duran) premium plays vs. Chris Bassitt (5.7 IP, 3.4 ER proj).

Betting Edge (via THE BAT X)

Top EV Plays:

• MIN/TB UNDER 8.5 (+100): 58% hit rate in sub-50°F games (projected: 44°F)
• Carlos Santana (CLE) 2+ TB (+210): Faces Jonathan Cannon (.387 xwOBA vs. lefties)

Weather Watch

• CLE/CHW: 60% rain chance (monitor for delays)
• DET/KC: 12mph crosswinds favor pitchers

Updated 30 mins before first pitch - Always check @ESPNFantasy for late scratches