In the ever-evolving landscape of college sports, Texas State University has emerged as the frontrunner to join the Pac-12 Conference. This potential move could have far-reaching implications for both the university and the conference.

The Social Media Clues

Last week, a cryptic post on X (formerly Twitter) hinted at the possibility of Texas State joining the Pac-12. The post, which featured a picture of two beavers floating in the San Marcos River, was reposted by Texas State president Kelly Damphousse. This sparked speculation, especially since the Oregon State Beavers are a Pac-12 team, and the San Marcos River runs through Texas State's hometown.

The Financial Motivators

Texas State's potential move is driven by financial considerations. The university faces a buyout increase from $5 million to $10 million if it leaves the Sun Belt Conference after July 1. The Pac-12, which needs an eighth football member to maintain its FBS status, is keen to make an offer before this deadline.

What’s Next for the Pac-12?

The Pac-12 has been exploring expansion options for months, with Texas State being the top candidate. The conference’s presidents are reportedly enamored with the idea of gaining a foothold in Texas and are impressed by Damphousse's leadership. Texas State's large enrollment and strong local talent base make it an attractive addition.

The Broader Implications

If Texas State joins the Pac-12, it could trigger a series of realignment moves across other conferences. The Sun Belt is already preparing for Texas State's departure, with Louisiana Tech emerging as a potential replacement. Meanwhile, the Conference USA is strategizing to fill any vacancies that may arise.

Memphis: The Wild Card

Memphis remains a key player in the realignment saga. While there’s no immediate interest from power conferences, Memphis could explore a split conference affiliation, joining the Pac-12 for football and the Big East for other sports. This move would maximize revenue and reduce travel costs.

Conclusion

The potential addition of Texas State to the Pac-12 is a significant development in college sports realignment. As the July 1 deadline approaches, all eyes will be on the negotiations and the ripple effects they may have across the NCAA landscape.