UFC 317 & PFL Semifinals: Expert Predictions, Betting Insights, and Fight Breakdowns
Get expert predictions, betting tips, and detailed fight breakdowns for UFC 317 and PFL Semifinals. Discover who the favorites are and where to place your bets.

UFC 317 Main Event: Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira
The UFC 317 main event features a highly anticipated clash between Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira for the vacant lightweight title. Topuria, ESPN's No. 2-ranked pound-for-pound fighter, is stepping up from featherweight to challenge Oliveira, a former lightweight champion. Experts are largely favoring Topuria, citing his technical prowess and striking ability.
Expert Predictions:
- Rashad Evans (UFC Hall of Famer): Topuria by TKO/KO
- Alan Jouban (ESPN MMA analyst): Topuria by TKO/KO
- Anthony Smith (ESPN MMA analyst): Topuria by first-round TKO/KO
Betting Analysis:
- Ian Parker (ESPN betting expert): Topuria to win by TKO/KO; over 1.5 rounds. Parker notes that while Topuria is favored, Oliveira's experience and reach could make the fight more competitive than the odds suggest.
Co-Main Event: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France
In the co-main event, Alexandre Pantoja defends his flyweight title against Kai Kara-France. Pantoja, ranked No. 7 in ESPN's P4P rankings, has been on a dominant streak since July 2020. Kara-France, however, earned his title shot with an impressive first-round knockout win over Steve Erceg.
Expert Predictions:
- Rashad Evans (UFC Hall of Famer): Pantoja by unanimous decision
- Alan Jouban (ESPN MMA analyst): Pantoja by submission
- Anthony Smith (ESPN MMA analyst): Kara-France by decision
Betting Analysis:
- Ian Parker (ESPN betting expert): Pantoja to win (-250). Parker highlights Pantoja's superior ground game as the key to his potential victory.
PFL Semifinals: Key Matchups and Betting Tips
The PFL semifinals feature exciting matchups across the middleweight, light heavyweight, and heavyweight divisions. Key fights include Fabian Edwards vs. Josh Silveira and Dalton Rosta vs. Aaron Jeffery.
Betting Tips:
- Fabian Edwards vs. Josh Silveira: Over 2.5 rounds. Edwards is a heavy favorite, but Silveira's durability suggests a longer fight.
- Dalton Rosta vs. Aaron Jeffery: Rosta to win (-140). Rosta's recent form and skillset make him the favorite in this rematch.
Conclusion
UFC 317 and the PFL semifinals promise thrilling action with high-stakes fights. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or a casual fan, these expert insights and betting tips will help you navigate the events and make informed decisions.