Final Four Showdown: Can Florida's Firepower Overcome Auburn's Defense? Duke vs. Houston in a Battle of Titans
Expert analysis and predictions for the 2025 Men's Final Four matchups featuring Auburn-Florida and Duke-Houston. Breaking down key players and strategies.

The Stage Is Set: An All-No. 1 Seed Final Four
For the first time since 2008, the Men's Final Four features all No. 1 seeds, promising an unforgettable weekend of college basketball. The action tips off Saturday with Florida vs. Auburn (6:09 p.m. ET) followed by Duke vs. Houston (8:49 p.m. ET), with both games airing on CBS.
(1) Florida vs. (1) Auburn: Clash of SEC Titans
Florida's Path to San Antonio
- Devastating Runs: The Gators have mastered the art of game-changing spurts
- Tournament Dominance: Outscored opponents by:
- 47-33 second half vs. Maryland (Sweet 16)
- 53 points in <17 minutes vs. Norfolk State
- Star Power: Walter Clayton Jr.'s clutch performances (see his late 3-pointers vs. Texas Tech)
Auburn's Resurgence
- Defensive Identity: Allowed just 1.00 PPP in tournament
- Key Stoppers:
- Denver Jones (elite perimeter defender)
- Broome/Cardwell (paint protectors)
- Health Watch: Johni Broome's status after Elite Eight injury scare
Prediction Consensus
Analyst | Prediction | Score |
---|---|---|
Borzello | Florida W | 82-79 |
Lunardi | Florida W | 85-80 |
Medcalf | Florida W | 88-84 |
Key Factor: Florida's 13-3PT shooting vs. Auburn's SEC-best perimeter defense in their regular season meeting
(1) Duke vs. (1) Houston: Youth vs. Experience
Houston's Winning Formula
- 3-Point Barrage: NCAA-best 40% from deep
- Defensive Prowess: Nation's top-ranked unit per KenPom
- Veteran Leadership: All starters with 60+ career games
Duke's Talent Edge
- NBA-Ready Roster: 4 projected first-round picks
- Depth Advantage: Bench players would start for most teams
- Two-Way Excellence: Top-5 offense AND defense
Expert Predictions Split
Pro-Duke Camp:
- Duke neutralizes Houston's 3-point attack
- Cooper Flagg dominates both ends
- Blue Devils' athleticism overwhelms
Pro-Houston Camp:
- Veteran poise in crunch time
- 159 wins in Sampson-Roberts era
- Nation's longest active win streak (17 games)
Final Four X-Factors
- Florida: Clayton Jr.'s ability to create magic
- Auburn: Broome's health and paint presence
- Houston: Maintaining 3-point efficiency
- Duke: Handling Houston's physical defense
Championship Implications: The winners will meet April 7 in what promises to be an epic title game regardless of matchup combinations.