The Do Not Draft List: Players Being Overvalued in 2025 NFL Fantasy Football

As the 2025 NFL Fantasy Football draft season approaches, it's crucial to identify players who are being overvalued. Here’s a look at some key players who might not live up to their draft day hype.

Christian McCaffrey: A Risky First-Round Pick

Christian McCaffrey, the San Francisco 49ers running back, has a history of stellar performances but also significant injury concerns. Despite his impressive 2023 season, where he topped 2,000 yards from scrimmage and scored 21 touchdowns, his health remains a major question mark. Fantasy managers should consider the risk versus reward before drafting him in the first round.

Saquon Barkley: Statistical Decline Expected

Philadelphia Eagles star Saquon Barkley is another player to approach with caution. After handling a staggering 378 touches last season, a statistical decline is anticipated. Barkley has also missed at least three games in four of his past six seasons, making him a risky early-round pick.

Quarterbacks: Value Beyond the Early Rounds

While quarterbacks like Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen are elite talents, they may not be worth an early draft pick. Instead, consider waiting until later rounds to secure a quarterback, allowing you to focus on building a strong foundation with running backs and wide receivers.

Running Backs: Rookies and Veterans

Rookie running backs often come with high expectations but limited guarantees. Players like Ashton Jeanty seem promising, but others like Omarion Hampton and RJ Harvey may struggle to secure consistent playing time. Veterans like Chuba Hubbard and James Conner offer more reliability and are safer bets in the middle rounds.

Wide Receivers: Avoiding Injury Risks

Injury-prone wide receivers like Deebo Samuel and Cooper Kupp should be approached with caution. While they have the potential for big plays, their history of injuries makes them risky investments. Instead, look for consistent performers with a lower risk of missing games.

Tight Ends: Touchdown Regression

Mark Andrews led tight ends with 11 touchdown catches last season, but his volume dropped significantly. With emerging talent like Isaiah Likely on the Ravens, Andrews may see fewer targets. Consider other tight end options who offer more consistent production.

Conclusion

As you prepare for your 2025 NFL Fantasy Football draft, remember to evaluate players based on their value and risk. Avoid overvalued players like Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley, and focus on building a balanced team with reliable performers. Happy drafting!