Starting Pitchers Overview

Pitchers are ranked based on their projected fantasy points (FPTS) using ESPN's standard scoring system. Here’s a detailed look at the top pitchers for Monday:

• Garrett Crochet (L) vs. HOU: 12.5 FPTS, 56% Win Probability, 5.3 IP, 2.0 ER, 6.7 K
• Freddy Peralta (R) vs. PIT: 11.1 FPTS, 59% Win Probability, 5.5 IP, 2.5 ER, 6.3 K
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R) vs. LAA: 10.1 FPTS, 63% Win Probability, 5.8 IP, 2.9 ER, 5.9 K

Pitchers to Stream on Monday

• Jeffrey Springs (L) vs. TB: After a rocky start, Springs has a 3.30 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over his last 18 outings. He faces a Rays lineup with a low wOBA against lefties.
• Ryne Nelson (R) vs. TEX: Nelson’s 3.20 ERA benefits from a .237 BABIP. He’ll face the Diamondbacks, who have a poor wOBA against right-handers.
• Yu Darvish (R) vs. SF: Despite injuries, Darvish is a solid pick with a favorable matchup against the Giants.

Today’s Best Matchups for Pitchers

• Texas Rangers vs. Diamondbacks: Average pitcher ERA of 3.86
• New York Yankees vs. Twins: Average pitcher ERA of 3.93
• Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pirates: Average pitcher ERA of 3.96

Today’s Worst Matchups for Pitchers

• Minnesota Twins vs. Yankees: Average pitcher ERA of 5.44
• Cincinnati Reds vs. Phillies: Average pitcher ERA of 5.42
• Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics: Average pitcher ERA of 5.26

Hitters to Avoid on Monday

• Cade Cavalli (R) vs. Royals: Limited fantasy appeal due to low innings and strikeout potential.

Today’s Best Matchups for Hitters

• Cincinnati Reds vs. Phillies: Average hitter wOBA of .359
• Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics: Average hitter wOBA of .343
• St. Louis Cardinals RHB vs. Rockies: Average hitter wOBA of .341

Today’s Worst Matchups for Hitters

• Houston Astros LHB vs. Red Sox: Average hitter wOBA of .273
• San Diego Padres RHB vs. Giants: Average hitter wOBA of .276
• Arizona Diamondbacks RHB vs. Rangers: Average hitter wOBA of .276

Betting Tips

• Best/Worst Pitcher/Hitter Matchups: Generated by THE BAT X, considering player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, and more.
• Expected Value (EV): Measures the quality of a bet based on its probability to win versus the odds provided.

Today’s Top HR Prop Bets

• Oneil Cruz | OVER 0.5 HR (+475): 19% chance, $10.06 EV
• Henry Davis | OVER 0.5 HR (+900): 11% chance, $10.00 EV
• Harrison Bader | OVER 0.5 HR (+525): 17% chance, $4.81 EV

Today’s Top Pitcher Prop Bets

• Cristian Javier | OVER 4.5 K (+110): 56% chance, $18.04 EV
• Zebby Matthews | UNDER 5.5 K (-130): 66% chance, $22.35 EV
• Cade Cavalli | UNDER 3.5 K (+105): 55% chance, $12.61 EV

Today’s Top YRFI/NRFI Bets

• Phillies @ Reds | YRFI (-125): 57% chance, $3.32 EV
• Pirates @ Brewers | YRFI (-105): 51% chance, $0.31 EV