Introduction

As the 2025 NFL season approaches, the spotlight intensifies on teams that may take a step back. Bill Barnwell, a seasoned NFL analyst, identifies five teams that could see a decline based on offseason changes, troubling signs, and historical performance trends.

Kansas City Chiefs

Record in 2024: 15-2 Point differential in 2024: +59 Key Concerns:

• Over-reliance on one-score game victories.
• Defensive inconsistencies in crucial moments.
• Potential regression in key player performances.

Minnesota Vikings

Record in 2024: 14-3 Point differential in 2024: +100 Key Concerns:

• High turnover margin unlikely to be sustained.
• Aging roster and defensive unit.
• Transition to a new quarterback.

Washington Commanders

Record in 2024: 12-5 Point differential in 2024: +94 Key Concerns:

• Exceptional fourth-down conversion rate unlikely to repeat.
• Aging roster and reliance on veteran players.
• Potential regression in quarterback performance.

Indianapolis Colts

Record in 2024: 8-9 Point differential in 2024: -50 Key Concerns:

• Inconsistent quarterback play and health issues.
• Defensive struggles and missed tackles.
• Tougher schedule in 2025.

Detroit Lions

Record in 2024: 15-2 Point differential in 2024: +222 Key Concerns:

• Health of the defensive unit.
• Interior offensive line vulnerabilities.
• Coaching staff changes and inexperience.

Conclusion

While these teams have shown promise in previous seasons, various factors suggest they may face challenges in maintaining their success. Barnwell's analysis provides a comprehensive look at potential pitfalls and the likelihood of a decline in the 2025 NFL season.