Pitching Breakdown & Streaming Targets

Top 5 Wednesday Starters

1. Spencer Strider (ATL) - Faces Blue Jays' 8th-ranked offense vs RHP
2. Chris Bassitt (TOR) - Home matchup against Braves' strikeout-prone lineup
3. Aaron Nola (PHI) - Career 2.89 ERA vs Giants in pitcher-friendly Oracle Park
4. Kris Bubic (KC) - Yankee Stadium test with improved slider command
5. Nick Pivetta (BOS) - Cubs rank 24th in OPS vs righties (MLB.com)

Streaming Specials:

• Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 11 K/9 in minors vs Royals' .298 wOBA (3rd worst)
• Mitchell Parker (WSH): Pirates' .682 OPS vs RHP (FanGraphs)
• Osvaldo Bido (OAK): White Sox offense ranks last in runs scored

Hitting Strategy

Prime Steal Targets:

• Nationals vs LHP Falter (18 SB allowed in 2024)
• Target: Dylan Crews (82% available) - 93rd percentile sprint speed (Statcast)

Matchup to Exploit:

• Padres vs Matthew Boyd: .347 xwOBA allowed to righties (2024)
• Sleepers: Ha-Seong Kim (67% rostered), Jurickson Profar (41%)

Betting Corner

Moneyline Value:

• Phillies (-145) vs Giants: Nola's 1.98 ERA in night games (2024)

Over/Under Play:

• Marlins vs Diamondbacks (O/U 8.5): Both teams top 10 in bullpen ERA

Prop Special:

• Spencer Strider Over 8.5 Ks (-115): Jays whiff 26.3% vs RHP (3rd highest)

Advanced Analytics

Weather Watch:

• CHC@BOS: 15 mph NE wind blowing in at Fenway
• NYY@KC: 82°F with 65% humidity (fly ball boost)

Injury Alerts

• Giancarlo Stanton (NYY): Day-to-day with hamstring tightness
• Zac Gallen (ARI): Pushed to Thursday with blister issue